Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread

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2 weeks 12 hours ago - 2 weeks 11 hours ago #65614 by pinky
Replied by pinky on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread
By popular demand. I augmented neill_m’s list with the preferred result for Connacht. Winners in bold. Strikethrough means we don’t care.

Fri Apr 12

6:35pm Southern Kings v Ospreys Premier Sports 2 / S4C (guarantees at least 4th – even no TBP for Ospreys would help)
7pm Benetton v Munster Free Sports (reduces Munster motivation and Treviso are arguably the least worst QF opponent)
7:35pm Edinburgh v Ulster Premier Sports 1 / Eir Sport 2 (don’t want a TBP for Edinburgh in case we lose and meet them in the playoff but Ulster defeat is better for next season’s Pro14 conferences and Champions Cup seedings)
7:45pm Newcastle v Tigers BT Sport 1

Sat Apr 13

1:45pm Bordeaux v Castres Sky Sports Arena (to help La Rochelle – tough call as these are the two directly above them – you would think a Castres win might be better but Bordeaux have a tough run-in so I don’t think they are as big a threat)
3pm Gloucester v Bath BT Sport 3 / Channel 5 (Bath are level with Sale in fifth)
3pm Worcester v Sale (so they don’t need the 20th qualifying spot)
3pm Harlequins v Northampton (Northampton are 2 behind Sale)
4pm Stade Francais v Agen (very unlikey but it would help La Rochelle)
4pm Lyon v Perpignan (ditto)
4pm La Rochelle v Pau (so they don’t need the 20th qualifying spot)
3pm Connacht v Cardiff Blues TG4 / Premier Sports 2 (their fans are sound)
3pm Leinster v Glasgow Premier Sports 1 / Eir Sport 1 (not so important if Munster win but it could guarantee Glasgow top spot so Munster have nothing to play for if we end up needing a win)
5:15pm Scarlets v Zebre Premier Sports 1 / Eir Sport 2 (not that important but takes Scarlets out)
6:35pm Cheetahs v Dragons Premier Sports 2
7.45pm Grenoble v Toulon Canal+ (Toulon are ten behind La Rochelle but no harm if they lose)

Sun Apr 14

11.30am Racing v Montpellier Canal+ (Montpellier just behind Le Rochelle)
3pm Chiefs v Wasps BT Sport 1 (Wasps are two behind Sale)
3:50pm Toulouse v Clermont Sky Sports Action (doesn’t affect us but worth a look!)

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"We haven’t liked the wind and rain for about four years now" - John Muldoon 1/1/2015
Last edit: 2 weeks 11 hours ago by pinky.
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2 weeks 11 hours ago #65615 by connachta
Replied by connachta on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread

pinky wrote: By popular demand. I augmented neill_m’s list with the preferred result for Connacht. Winners in bold. Strikethrough means we don’t care.

Fri Apr 12

6:35pm Southern Kings v Ospreys Premier Sports 2 / S4C (guarantees at least 4th – even no TBP for Ospreys would help)
7pm Benetton v Munster Free Sports (reduces Munster motivation and Treviso are arguably the least worst QF opponent)
7:35pm Edinburgh v Ulster Premier Sports 1 / Eir Sport 2 (don’t want a TBP for Edinburgh in case we lose and meet them in the playoff but Ulster defeat is better for next season’s Pro14 conferences and Champions Cup seedings)
7:45pm Newcastle v Tigers BT Sport 1

Sat Apr 13

1:45pm Bordeaux v Castres Sky Sports Arena (to help La Rochelle – tough call as these are the two directly above them – you would think a Castres win might be better but Bordeaux have a tough run-in so I don’t think they are as big a threat)
3pm Gloucester v Bath BT Sport 3 / Channel 5 (Bath are level with Sale in fifth)
3pm Worcester v Sale (so they don’t need the 20th qualifying spot)
3pm Harlequins v Northampton (Northampton are 2 behind Sale)
4pm Stade Francais v Agen (very unlikey but it would help La Rochelle)
4pm Lyon v Perpignan (ditto)
4pm La Rochelle v Pau (so they don’t need the 20th qualifying spot)
3pm Connacht v Cardiff Blues TG4 / Premier Sports 2 (their fans are sound)
3pm Leinster v Glasgow Premier Sports 1 / Eir Sport 1 (not so important if Munster win but it could guarantee Glasgow top spot so Munster have nothing to play for if we end up needing a win)
5:15pm Scarlets v Zebre Premier Sports 1 / Eir Sport 2 (not that important but takes Scarlets out)
6:35pm Cheetahs v Dragons Premier Sports 2
7.45pm Grenoble v Toulon Canal+ (Toulon are ten behind La Rochelle but no harm if they lose)

Sun Apr 14

11.30am Racing v Montpellier Canal+ (Montpellier just behind Le Rochelle)
3pm Chiefs v Wasps BT Sport 1 (Wasps are two behind Sale)
3:50pm Toulouse v Clermont Sky Sports Action (doesn’t affect us but worth a look!)



Yeah, Clear.
Except Edinburgh. I'd like to get rid of the idea of an away play-off as soon as Friday...

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2 weeks 10 hours ago #65618 by pinky
Replied by pinky on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread

connachta wrote: Yeah, Clear.
Except Edinburgh. I'd like to get rid of the idea of an away play-off as soon as Friday...


It would be nice to have that certainty I suppose. But I think as long as they don't get a TBP we should be OK. We'd still be a point ahead going into the last game with superior points difference, so they'd need 2 points away to Glasgow.

I put a euro on the accumulator above at six hundred and seventy five thousand to one, so if they all come in, I will be buying the drinks (and probably a charter flight to Treviso).

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
"We haven’t liked the wind and rain for about four years now" - John Muldoon 1/1/2015
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2 weeks 8 hours ago - 2 weeks 8 hours ago #65619 by connachta
Replied by connachta on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread
Weather is uncertain. Probably light rain in 2nd half, which TBH and for once, will suit us vs a team like Cardiff
Odds are + 6 now :)
Last edit: 2 weeks 8 hours ago by connachta.

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2 weeks 8 hours ago #65620 by connemara man
Replied by connemara man on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread
I Dunno Connachta teams that have troubled us have targeted our breakdown, a wettish day and if Nick Williams is back, the breakdown is somewhere Cardiff can make hay

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1 week 6 days ago #65621 by Sol_ie
Replied by Sol_ie on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread
{cmp_start idkey=2647[url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.connachtclan.com%2Fnews%2F38-general-news%2F646-connacht-v-cardiff-last-home-game-of-the-season-saturday-13th-april-ko-3-p-m][title=Connacht+v.+Cardiff+-+Last+Home+Game+of+the+Season+-+Saturday+13th+April+KO+3+p.m.+][desc=]}...

ConnCardiff

 

We're down to the last home game of the season! Connacht take on Cardiff is what is likely to be a make or break game for both teams! Champions Cup Rugby and Pro14 playoffs are up for grabs. This game is likely to be a sell out!

 

And post game, the Connacht Clan will be delighted to present the Clan Player of the Year and Clan Young Player of the Year awards in the Clan Bar. All are welcome!


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1 week 6 days ago #65623 by neill_m
Replied by neill_m on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread
Interesting analysis from the ever excellent Murray Kinsella on the Pro 14 Hour last night about Saturday's game. Cardiff's young backrow v Munster in defensive situations near their line were getting trapped behind the ruck and not "sweeping" apparently.

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1 week 6 days ago #65624 by Accidentally Onside
Replied by Accidentally Onside on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread
The problem with analysis like that is it's unlikely to be any good to you- their performance analysts will definitely have spotted that and drilled it all week, it would be very unprofessional of them to be caught by the same relatively simple to fix problem two weeks in a row.
Plus we don't have the ballast to play a punishing pick and drive game unfortunately.

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1 week 6 days ago #65625 by connachta
Replied by connachta on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread
Farrell will cause havoc IMO. He's the decider of the game..Good to have him fit.

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1 week 6 days ago #65626 by Caltra
Replied by Caltra on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread
Quinn Roux will be a huge loss especially if the weather is promised bad, I hope the supporters turn up in good voice as this is the defining game of the season and it all rides on this result, surely home venue will be a massive advantage. The Cardiff centres are explosive but I hear Josh Navedi is out for the season and he will be a huge loss. Is Nick Williams also struggling to be fit, hopefully

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1 week 6 days ago #65627 by RonanL
Replied by RonanL on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread
Is Quinn definitely out? Listening to the craggy podcast preview it didn't seem too clear cut - they mentioned he has a bug and would be assessed further.
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1 week 6 days ago #65628 by neill_m
Replied by neill_m on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread

connachta wrote: Weather is uncertain. Probably light rain in 2nd half, which TBH and for once, will suit us vs a team like Cardiff
Odds are + 6 now :)



Bookies have Connacht 5 points favourites (-5).

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1 week 6 days ago #65629 by connachta
Replied by connachta on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread
maybe Quinn on the bench?

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1 week 6 days ago #65630 by salmson
Replied by salmson on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread

connachta wrote: maybe Quinn on the bench?


Highly unlikely. Friend said he was being kept away from the rest of the squad due to his having a virus.

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1 week 6 days ago #65643 by salmson
Replied by salmson on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread
Looks like Evans and Arhip fit, Williams and Dacey out for Cardiff.

www.walesonline.co.uk/sport/rugby/rugby-...th-anscombe-16114503

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1 week 6 days ago #65644 by connachta
Replied by connachta on topic Connacht Cardiff Build-Up thread
Would be a hell of a good piece of news!!

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