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Champions Cup Qualification 2017/18
- Martinclanconroy
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Just popped into my head if we be going against quins... if we go England anyways... would much be interested in putting bus over... did anyone on this try before
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- pinky
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It's a possibility if we had numbers, last time we were in this situation though very few people travelled to Gloucester for the playoff.
We only had a week's notice that time so maybe more will go this time. But there should hopefully be affordable flights to be had to London and anyone who wants to go by boat would probably be better off using SailRail or Eurolines.
Krasnyh Yar overturned the lead in Romania and will be in the Challenge Cup. As it stands they could have the same seeding in the draw as Toulouse!
The two Russian teams will have to travel from Krasnoyarsk to Edinburgh to play each other in the final of the Continental Shield (even though they're both qualified). So no trip to Romania next season anyway ...
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- Martinclanconroy
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I wonder would ye give it a try or would it be affordable do it
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- Bazzo
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The lad wearing 9 for Rochelle looks like the Andy Goode of scrum halves.
Edit: should point out I'm watching Gloucester V La Rochelle in the challenge cup as it could have an influence on our opponent in the playoffs
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- Conn Not 65
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Personally I think its a non runner. Unlike Edinburgh for the Pro 12 final, flights will be way more affordable . There are plenty of cheap options for Harlequins and Northampton. We have taken a punt on Northampton and booked the Radisson !! €50 PP with breakfast. How bad ! After this season I think we deserve it......
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- pinky
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By "the lad wearing 9" I assume you mean 47 times capped Springbok Ricky Januarie? He's earned his few strips of biltong.
Gloucester win complicates things a bit. Probably best for us if they finish seventh now so we know that they'll be the English representative without having to wait for the final ...
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- Conn Not 65
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You reckon we could be back there again ?
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- pinky
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Conn Not 65 wrote: You reckon we could be back there again ?
Fourth time for me. Let's not go to the Shed this time. I'm beginning to feel it's not a lucky place for the Clan.
Racing took an absolute pasting in Montpellier. Now I look at the table they're probably not as secure as I gave them credit for. Paddy Power have their odds up for next weekend already and Paris, Bordeaux and Lyon are all favourites, which means Racing could go into their last game (at home to Bordeaux) tied eighth with Pau.
Paris Derby should be worth a watch next Sunday. Also Lyon v Clermont just before the Connacht game but it's not on Sky so probably won't be able to get it in Rabbitt's.
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- Bazzo
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pinky wrote: By "the lad wearing 9" I assume you mean 47 times capped Springbok Ricky Januarie? He's earned his few strips of biltong.
Gloucester win complicates things a bit. Probably best for us if they finish seventh now so we know that they'll be the English representative without having to wait for the final ...
That'd be him alright. Not familiar with him at all to be honest, looking at his record with the boks I was a teenager in most of his active years but even then I'm (obviously) familiar with Pienaar but not him for whatever reason!
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- Martinclanconroy
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so who ye think we get for play off checking hotels
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- Bazzo
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Martinclanconroy wrote: so who ye think we get for play off checking hotels
Honestly it's too tight to tell between Northampton, Quins and Gloucester.
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- salmson
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Martinclanconroy wrote: so who ye think we get for play off checking hotels
As it stands Gloucs have a 50% chance of winning the Challenge Cup and making the Premiership standings irrelevant, so they're hot favourites. If they fail to win the cup they haven't a rashers in the league, they'd need to beat Bath away *and* Exeter at home, and hope both Northampton and Quins lose in round 21, as Northampton host Quins on the final day.
Northampton hosting Quins on the final day should see them home (Quins away record is as shocking as their home one is good), but Quins could go into that game ahead if Quins beat Wasps at home in round 21 and Northampton lose away to Exeter.
Overall I'd say the probabilities are about 50% Gloucs, 33% N/hampton, 17% Quins.
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- Bazzo
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Bazzo wrote: Honestly it's too tight to tell between Northampton, Quins and Gloucester.
salmson wrote:
As it stands Gloucs have a 50% chance of winning the Challenge Cup and making the Premiership standings irrelevant, so they're hot favourites. If they fail to win the cup they haven't a rashers in the league, they'd need to beat Bath away *and* Exeter at home, and hope both Northampton and Quins lose in round 21, as Northampton host Quins on the final day.
Northampton hosting Quins on the final day should see them home (Quins away record is as shocking as their home one is good), but Quins could go into that game ahead if Quins beat Wasps at home in round 21 and Northampton lose away to Exeter.
Overall I'd say the probabilities are about 50% Gloucs, 33% N/hampton, 17% Quins.
Or you could assign exact values to the odds
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- pinky
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Are you not a small bit off there salmson or am I counting wrong?
salmson wrote: Northampton hosting Quins on the final day should see them home
In that case they would hold their current position and qualify automatically.
It's the middle of the three teams that would be in the playoff if Gloucester don't win the Challenge Cup, which by your analysis would most likely be Quins.
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- ThisYearWillBeDifferent
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Stade through to play Gloucester, came back from the dead with a try and dropped goal, George Ford missed a penalty to level it.
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- Bazzo
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Unless I'm mistaken Stade have been pretty abysmal away from home this season. I'd fancy Gloucester to take them in Edinburgh.
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